How do governments spend?
The responsibilities over this spending are split between the Scottish Government, UK government and local authorities.
The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) have a handy guide on understanding these different types of spending:
The UK public sector pay bill (which includes 5.6 million UK public sector employees) is part of this and accounts for around a quarter of all UK government spending at £235 billion in the 2021/22 financial year (IFS).
In 2022-23, the OBR predicts central government departments spend £407 billion on this day-to-day current spending. This is 37% of total government spending.
👩⚕️ Cuts in current spending typically translate into real pay cuts for the civil service and lower staff numbers in schools and hospitals.
It mainly involves funding multi-year projects such as building hospitals, schools and infrastructure. Capital spending can encourage further spending and growth through investment in infrastructure the private sector.
The OBR estimates the public sector to spend £113.6 billion on capital investment in 2022-23. This is 10% of total spending.
🚅 The High Speed 2 (HS2) railway line, which will connect London, Birmingham, the East Midlands and North West England is estimated to cost £98bn in capital spending. There is controversy over whether this investment will repay itself. The initial 2010 Command Paper estimated that the project would generate £2.40 for every £1 spent, while the 2020 Lord Berkeley Review suggests it would generate only £0.66 for every £1 spent.
In the UK, most transfer spending involves cash transfers through the welfare system. The OBR estimates 54% of this bill will go to state pensions (£110.6 billion).
📈 Transfer spending is ‘demand-led’ which means that the level of expenditure responds to changes in demand in the economy. For example, spending on welfare benefits depends upon how many people require benefits, which depends upon how the economy is performing. This is one example of automatic fiscal stabilisers, where during an economic downturn there is an increase in welfare spending.